CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2024-10-26T06:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2024-10-26T06:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/34212/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible as a partial halo directed towards the southeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is an eruption and X1.8 flare from Active Region 13873 (S16E60) starting around 2024-10-26T06:30Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. A wide opening of field lines is visible over the southeast limb in SDO AIA 171 and 193, with post eruptive arcades visible in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 starting around 07:50Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2024-10-28T04:13Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2024-10-28T05:33Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 55.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.8 - 6.8
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: 1.72 hour(s)
Difference: -1.33 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2024-10-28T02:30Z
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